Updated: Nov 3, 2026

Public record

Every match the system called, recorded before it was played and settled with its result. A parlay takes one row per leg and counts as a single ticket, which is why there are more rows than bets. It updates itself: every published pick goes in before its match and is closed with the result.

How we measure
All
All
All

The model

Matches 3,088 · ML accuracy 71.7 %
Matches
3,088
ML accuracy
71.7 %
Spread accuracy
67.7 %
How each figure is calculated
Matches
Rows with a result. A parlay takes one row per leg, and some called matches were never bet: that is why there are far more matches than bets.
ML accuracy
How often the model picked the actual winner. It measures the model, not the money.
Spread accuracy
How often the called line was covered. A bet can lose with the model right: the favourite wins but does not cover the handicap.

The bets

Bets 1,635 · ROI +11.1 % · P&L +182.07 u
ROI
+11.1 %
P&L
+182.07 u
Worst drawdown
−16.84 u
How each figure is calculated
ROI
Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L
In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown
The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

Cumulative balance of the public record

  • Balance
  • Worst drawdown −16.84 u· Mar 17–24
  • Now +182.07 u
Cumulative balance of the record, bet by bet, in units (1 u = 1 stake). The band marks the worst fall from a high.
Bets
1,635
Accuracy
60.5 %
Odds
1.87
Profit factor
1.28
Variability
8.55
How each figure is calculated
Accuracy
Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Profit factor
Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability
How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

Breakdowns

By month, surface, tournament type and tournament

Result by month

  • Profit
  • Loss
Nov 202627 tickets
Oct 2026122 tickets
Sep 2026122 tickets
Aug 2026223 tickets
Jul 2026219 tickets
Jun 2026211 tickets
May 2026206 tickets
Apr 2026201 tickets
−4.87 u
−6.06 u
+19.53 u
+9.33 u
+30.38 u
+9.97 u
+12.21 u
+43.97 u
By month
MonthTicketsAccuracyP&LROI
Nov 20262755.6 %−4.87 u-18.0 %
Oct 202612264.8 %−6.06 u-5.0 %
Sep 202612263.9 %+19.53 u+16.0 %
Aug 202622355.2 %+9.33 u+4.2 %
Jul 202621959.4 %+30.38 u+13.9 %
Jun 202621156.9 %+9.97 u+4.7 %
May 202620657.8 %+12.21 u+5.9 %
Apr 202620163.2 %+43.97 u+21.9 %
Mar 202618459.2 %+18.20 u+9.9 %
Feb 202612074.2 %+49.41 u+41.2 %
Total163560.5 %+182.07 u+11.1 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Match by match

3,153 rows · Page 16 of 64
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Daniel Altmaier vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Lorenzo Musetti−1.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Daniel Merida vs Zizou Bergs

    Daniel Merida+1.5 sets1.30—
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknech

    Joao Fonseca−0.5 games1.36—
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Rinderknech

    Arthur Rinderknech+1.5 sets1.22—
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez

    Learner Tien−0.5 games×1.70+0.70 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe

    Frances Tiafoe+1.5 sets1.21—
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev

    Daniil Medvedev−1.5 games×1.59+0.59 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Michael Zheng vs Ugo Humbert

    Ugo Humbert−2.5 games2.50−1.00 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolo

    Francisco Cerundolo+0.5 games×2.11−1.00 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

    Felix Auger-Aliassime−0.5 games×2.01+1.01 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen

    Taylor Fritz−2.5 games1.98+0.98 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot

    Valentin Vacherot−3.5 games2.04−1.00 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone

    Alexander Blockx−2.5 games×2.61+1.61 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie

    Alexander Zverev−3.5 games1.70−1.00 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth

    James Duckworth+0.5 games×1.75−1.00 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo

    Alejandro Tabilo−0.5 games×1.87+0.87 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettini

    Matteo Berrettini+2.5 games1.91−1.00 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldi

    Matteo Arnaldi+0.5 games×2.30−1.00 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik

    Jakub Mensik−0.5 games1.27—
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli

    Flavio Cobolli+1.5 sets1.33—
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

    Novak Djokovic−2.5 games×1.87−1.00 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Quentin Halys vs Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur−0.5 games1.37—
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov

    Rafael Jodar−1.5 games×1.95+0.95 u
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Terence Atmane vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

    Terence Atmane+1.5 sets1.20—
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz

    Tommy Paul+1.5 sets1.30—
  • Aug 15 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils

    Arthur Fils−0.5 games×1.74+0.74 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie

    Arthur Fils−2.5 games1.62+0.62 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima

    Brandon Nakashima−0.5 games1.50+0.50 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima

    Ben Shelton−1.5 games1.57+0.57 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jakub Mensik

    Jakub Mensik−0.5 games1.40+0.40 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Daniel Merida vs Learner Tien

    Learner Tien−0.5 games1.50+0.50 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton

    Ben Shelton−1.5 games1.87+0.87 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar

    Rafael Jodar−1.5 games1.90+0.90 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

    Ben Shelton−0.5 games1.76+0.76 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton

    Ben Shelton−3.5 games2.20+1.20 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

    Learner Tien−1.5 games1.52+0.52 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima

    Brandon Nakashima−0.5 games1.40+0.40 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi

    Nuno Borges−0.5 games1.55−1.00 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima

    Rafael Jodar−0.5 games1.00—
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils

    Rafael Jodar−0.5 games1.65+0.65 u
  • Aug 15 · Montreal MastersWin

    Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida

    Daniel Merida−2.5 games2.45+1.45 u
  • Aug 15 · TodiLoss

    Marco Cecchinato vs Nicolas Kicker

    Marco Cecchinato−2.5 games——
  • Aug 14 · BrownsburgLoss

    Rei Sakamoto vs Daniel Milavsky

    Rei Sakamoto−0.5 games——
  • Aug 14 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia

    Adam Walton−1.5 games1.63+0.63 u
  • Aug 14 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanov

    Karen Khachanov−0.5 games×1.99−1.00 u
  • Aug 14 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Alex Michelsen vs Jesper De Jong

    Alex Michelsen−1.5 games×1.62+0.62 u
  • Aug 14 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alexander Shevchenko

    Alexander Shevchenko+2.5 games×1.70−1.00 u
  • Aug 14 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak

    Kamil Majchrzak−0.5 games1.56−1.00 u
  • Aug 14 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier

    Coleman Wong+1.5 sets1.20—
  • Aug 14 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Daniel Merida vs Marin Cilic

    Daniel Merida−2.5 games×2.56+1.56 u
Page 16 of 64

Picks on trial

Bets 113 · ROI +0.4 % · P&L +0.42 u

Picks from a strategy we are still adjusting. They are published marked «In testing» and measured here, separately: they do not count in the figures above. If it proves itself it moves to the main record; if not, it is withdrawn.

Bets
113
Accuracy
68.1 %
ROI
+0.4 %
P&L
+0.42 u
DateMatchPickOddsResultP&L (u)Cumulative (u)
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−1.5 games1.44Win+0.44 u+2.89 u
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−2.5 games1.53Win+0.53 u+3.42 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−1.5 games1.65Win+0.65 u+1.67 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.45 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−3.5 games1.60Loss−1.00 u+2.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−1.5 games1.35Loss−1.00 u+1.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−2.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+0.42 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−1.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+2.02 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.02 u
Oct 27Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy CassoneSioux FallsUnder26.5 games1.50Void—+2.25 u
Oct 27Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce NakashimaSioux FallsOver18.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+1.64 u
Oct 27Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby SamuelBrestToby Samuel−3.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.42 u
Oct 26Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan SmithNingboKeegan Smith−1.5 games1.75Loss−1.00 u+2.78 u
Oct 26Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit SamrejSeoulOver18.5 games1.47Win+0.47 u+3.25 u
Oct 26Zsombor Piros vs Laslo DjereBrestOver19.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+2.25 u
Oct 26Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh BasavareddyBrestUnder29.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+2.64 u
Oct 26Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriGuayaquilDiego Dedura-Palomero−2.5 games1.60Win+0.60 u+3.02 u
Oct 23Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie CuiGuangzhouTristan Schoolkate−2.5 games1.72Loss−1.00 u+2.63 u
Oct 23Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZarateCaliFelipe Meligeni Alves−2.5 games1.40Win+0.40 u+3.03 u
Oct 23Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro KoppFlorenciaSandro Kopp−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+3.78 u
Oct 22Oriol Roca Batalla vs Dimitris SakellaridisFlorenciaOriol Roca Batalla−2.5 games1.31Win+0.31 u+2.15 u
Oct 22Coleman Wong vs Jay FriendGuangzhouColeman Wong−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+3.38 u
Oct 22Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan MayoFort WorthAidan Mayo−2.5 games1.70Win+0.70 u+4.08 u
Oct 22Andrej Nedic vs Alex Marti PujolrasFlorenciaAndrej Nedic−2.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+3.08 u
Oct 22Jie Cui vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver19.5 games1.55Win+0.55 u+3.63 u
Oct 21Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer MollerLisboaUnder25.5 games1.55Loss−1.00 u+1.57 u
Oct 21Gustavo Heide vs Juan Pablo VarillasCaliOver19.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+2.09 u
Oct 21Keegan Smith vs Fajing SunGuangzhouKeegan Smith−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.09 u
Oct 21Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista TorresCaliJuan Manuel La Serna−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+1.84 u
Oct 21Matej Dodig vs Marco CecchinatoLisboaMatej Dodig−1.5 games1.45Win+0.45 u+2.60 u
Oct 20Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver18.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+1.91 u
Oct 20Fajing Sun vs Qian SunGuangzhouFajing Sun−3.5 games1.35Win+0.35 u+1.86 u
Oct 20Sergey Fomin vs Tristan SchoolkateGuangzhouOver17.5 games1.23Win+0.23 u+1.09 u
Oct 20Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago PereiraLisboaTiago Pereira+5.5 games1.62Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerCaliNicolas Kicker+7.5 games1.29Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Matias Soto vs Samuel HerediaCaliSamuel Heredia+5.5 games1.60Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Braden Shick vs Gabriel DebruFort WorthBraden Shick+4.5 games1.28Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Nick Hardt vs Francisco ComesanaCaliOver17.5 games1.30Win+0.30 u+2.05 u
Oct 20Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La SernaCaliOver18.5 games1.37Win+0.37 u+2.80 u
Oct 20Henry Searle vs Massimo GiuntaFlorenciaOver19.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+3.19 u
Oct 20Francesco Passaro vs Gastao EliasLisboaOver17.5 games1.57Loss−1.00 u+2.53 u
Oct 20Federico Coria vs Nicolas MejiaCaliOver17.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+3.05 u
Oct 20Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonLisboaPol Martin Tiffon+1.5 sets1.55Void—+3.05 u
Oct 20Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel TobonCaliOver17.5 games1.24Win+0.24 u+3.29 u
Oct 20Filippo Romano vs Filip Cristian JianuFlorenciaOver17.5 games1.23Loss−1.00 u+2.29 u
Oct 20Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca CadenassoFlorenciaSandro Kopp+5.5 games1.30Void—+2.29 u
Oct 20Alastair Gray vs Lui MaxtedFort WorthAlastair Gray+4.5 games1.23Void—+2.67 u
Oct 20Aidan Mayo vs Colton SmithFort WorthAidan Mayo+4.5 games1.36Void—+3.27 u
Oct 20Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor MarcondesFort WorthIgor Marcondes+1.5 sets1.57Win+0.57 u+4.34 u
Oct 20Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Ozan BarisFort WorthCosme Rolland De Ravel+4.5 games1.40Void—+4.70 u