Updated: Nov 3, 2026

Public record

Every bet, one by one, measured with the same rule as each client's record: units (1 unit = 1 stake) and parlays with the tennis policy. Odds are the ones bookmakers actually published.

How we measure

Live record Backtest 2024-2026

The model

Games analyzed 2,641 · Winner accuracy 67.5 %

Games analyzed: 2,641; NBA games the model forecast, week by week, without knowing the result.
Winner accuracy: 67.5 %; Did the model get which team would win? It measures the model, not the money.

How each figure is calculated

Games analyzed: NBA games the model forecast, week by week, without knowing the result.
Winner accuracy: Did the model get which team would win? It measures the model, not the money.

The bets

Tickets 2,014 · ROI +7.1 % · P&L +143.46 u

ROI: +7.1 %; Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L: +143.46 u; In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown: −28.75 u; The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

How each figure is calculated

ROI: Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L: In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown: The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

Cumulative balance of the public record

Balance
Worst drawdown −28.75 u· Oct 22 – Nov 26
Now +143.46 u

Cumulative balance of the record, bet by bet, in units (1 u = 1 stake). The band marks the worst fall from a high.

Tickets: 2,014
Accuracy: 59.5 %; Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Odds: 1.83
Profit factor: 1.18; Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability: 12.71; How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

How each figure is calculated

Accuracy: Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Profit factor: Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability: How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

Breakdowns

By month, market and line

Result by month

Profit
Loss

Nov 20265 tickets

Oct 202634 tickets

Jun 20261 tickets

May 202618 tickets

Apr 202648 tickets

Feb 2026195 tickets

Jan 2026243 tickets

Dec 2025195 tickets

−5.00 u

+8.13 u

+0.32 u

+4.34 u

−1.55 u

+7.33 u

+45.36 u

+16.93 u

By month
Month	Tickets	Accuracy	P&L	ROI
Nov 2026	5	0.0 %	−5.00 u	-100.0 %
Oct 2026	34	64.7 %	+8.13 u	+23.9 %
Jun 2026	1	100.0 %	+0.32 u	+32.0 %
May 2026	18	88.9 %	+4.34 u	+24.1 %
Apr 2026	48	64.6 %	−1.55 u	-3.2 %
Feb 2026	195	56.9 %	+7.33 u	+3.8 %
Jan 2026	243	64.2 %	+45.36 u	+18.7 %
Dec 2025	195	60.0 %	+16.93 u	+8.7 %
Nov 2025	170	56.5 %	+3.78 u	+2.2 %
Oct 2025	46	56.5 %	+2.26 u	+4.9 %
May 2025	71	71.8 %	+1.99 u	+2.8 %
Apr 2025	33	81.8 %	+9.50 u	+28.8 %
Feb 2025	210	59.0 %	+16.12 u	+7.7 %
Jan 2025	264	62.1 %	+37.09 u	+14.1 %
Dec 2024	197	57.9 %	+15.09 u	+7.7 %
Nov 2024	215	51.2 %	−12.08 u	-5.6 %
Oct 2024	69	47.8 %	−6.14 u	-8.9 %
Total	2014	59.5 %	+143.46 u	+7.1 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Hit rate by market

Hit rate
Overall hit rate 59.5 %

Total points2014 tickets

60 %

By market
Market	Tickets	Accuracy	P&L	ROI
Total points	2014	59.5 %	+143.46 u	+7.1 %
Total	2014	59.5 %	+143.46 u	+7.1 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Hit rate by line

Hit rate
Overall hit rate 59.5 %

Total points2014 tickets

60 %

By line
Line	Tickets	Accuracy	P&L	ROI
Total points	2014	59.5 %	+143.46 u	+7.1 %
Total	2014	59.5 %	+143.46 u	+7.1 %

Handicap lines are grouped by the cushion of the chosen team: “+10.5 or more” means the pick wins even if its team loses by 10 or fewer.

Record, bet by bet

3,783 rows · Page 1 of 76

Nov 01 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto RaptorsLoss
Under 238.5×1.80−1.00 u
Nov 01 · Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles ClippersWin
Over 208.51.32—
Nov 01 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto RaptorsLoss
Under 237.5×1.80−1.00 u
Nov 01 · Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles ClippersWin
Over 209.51.36—
Nov 01 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto RaptorsLoss
Under 236.5×1.80−1.00 u
Nov 01 · Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn NetsWin
Under 240.51.36—
Nov 01 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto RaptorsLoss
Under 235.51.36−1.00 u
Nov 01 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto RaptorsLoss
Under 234.51.36−1.00 u
Oct 31 · Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento KingsWin
Under 243.5×2.41+1.41 u
Oct 31 · San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota TimberwolvesWin
Over 215.51.35—
Oct 31 · New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta HawksWin
Under 251.51.35—
Oct 31 · Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento KingsWin
Under 242.5×1.84+0.84 u
Oct 31 · Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ersWin
Under 225.51.35—
Oct 31 · San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota TimberwolvesWin
Over 216.5×1.76+0.76 u
Oct 31 · Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento KingsWin
Under 241.51.32—
Oct 31 · Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ersLoss
Under 224.5×1.78−1.00 u
Oct 31 · Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento KingsLoss
Under 240.51.32—
Oct 31 · San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota TimberwolvesWin
Over 217.5×1.76+0.76 u
Oct 31 · Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland CavaliersWin
Under 247.51.32—
Oct 30 · Philadelphia 76ers vs New York KnicksWin
Under 238.5×2.37+1.37 u
Oct 30 · Dallas Mavericks vs Houston RocketsWin
Under 236.51.32—
Oct 30 · Toronto Raptors vs Orlando MagicWin
Under 237.51.36—
Oct 30 · Philadelphia 76ers vs New York KnicksWin
Under 237.5×1.80+0.80 u
Oct 30 · Dallas Mavericks vs Houston RocketsWin
Under 235.51.32—
Oct 29 · New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento KingsLoss
Under 247.51.32−1.00 u
Oct 29 · New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento KingsLoss
Under 245.51.36−1.00 u
Oct 28 · Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles LakersWin
Under 239.5×1.78+0.78 u
Oct 28 · Toronto Raptors vs Orlando MagicWin
Over 211.51.35—
Oct 28 · Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles LakersWin
Under 238.5×1.84+0.84 u
Oct 28 · Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte HornetsWin
Under 225.51.35—
Oct 28 · Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles LakersWin
Under 237.5×1.82+0.82 u
Oct 28 · Toronto Raptors vs Orlando MagicWin
Over 212.51.32—
Oct 28 · Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ersWin
Under 246.5×1.96+0.96 u
Oct 28 · Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles LakersWin
Under 236.51.44—
Oct 28 · Chicago Bulls vs New York KnicksLoss
Under 244.5×1.88−1.00 u
Oct 28 · Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ersWin
Under 245.51.37—
Oct 28 · Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles LakersWin
Under 235.5×1.97+0.97 u
Oct 28 · Atlanta Hawks vs Miami HeatWin
Over 232.51.36—
Oct 28 · Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State WarriorsWin
Under 238.5×1.85+0.85 u
Oct 28 · New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver NuggetsWin
Under 251.51.36—
Oct 27 · Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn NetsLoss
Over 211.5×1.86−1.00 u
Oct 27 · Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail BlazersLoss
Under 245.51.37—
Oct 26 · Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix SunsWin
Over 208.5×2.37+1.37 u
Oct 26 · Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota TimberwolvesWin
Over 221.51.32—
Oct 26 · Houston Rockets vs Atlanta HawksWin
Under 240.51.36—
Oct 26 · Charlotte Hornets vs Washington WizardsWin
Under 238.5×1.85+0.85 u
Oct 26 · Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana PacersWin
Under 250.51.36—
Oct 26 · Charlotte Hornets vs Washington WizardsWin
Under 237.5×1.85+0.85 u
Oct 26 · Utah Jazz vs Memphis GrizzliesWin
Under 248.51.36—
Oct 25 · Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto RaptorsWin
Under 242.5×1.80+0.80 u

Date	Match	Pick	Odds	Result	P&L (u)	Cumulative (u)
Nov 01	Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors	Under 238.5	×1.80	Loss	−1.00 u	+147.46 u
Nov 01	Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers	Over 208.5	1.32	Win	—	+147.46 u
Nov 01	Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors	Under 237.5	×1.80	Loss	−1.00 u	+146.46 u
Nov 01	Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers	Over 209.5	1.36	Win	—	+146.46 u
Nov 01	Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors	Under 236.5	×1.80	Loss	−1.00 u	+145.46 u
Nov 01	Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets	Under 240.5	1.36	Win	—	+145.46 u
Nov 01	Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors	Under 235.5	1.36	Loss	−1.00 u	+144.46 u
Nov 01	Los Angeles Lakers vs Toronto Raptors	Under 234.5	1.36	Loss	−1.00 u	+143.46 u
Oct 31	Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings	Under 243.5	×2.41	Win	+1.41 u	+147.11 u
Oct 31	San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves	Over 215.5	1.35	Win	—	+147.11 u
Oct 31	New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks	Under 251.5	1.35	Win	—	+147.11 u
Oct 31	Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings	Under 242.5	×1.84	Win	+0.84 u	+147.95 u
Oct 31	Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers	Under 225.5	1.35	Win	—	+147.95 u
Oct 31	San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves	Over 216.5	×1.76	Win	+0.76 u	+148.71 u
Oct 31	Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings	Under 241.5	1.32	Win	—	+148.71 u
Oct 31	Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers	Under 224.5	×1.78	Loss	−1.00 u	+147.71 u
Oct 31	Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings	Under 240.5	1.32	Loss	—	+147.71 u
Oct 31	San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves	Over 217.5	×1.76	Win	+0.76 u	+148.46 u
Oct 31	Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers	Under 247.5	1.32	Win	—	+148.46 u
Oct 30	Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks	Under 238.5	×2.37	Win	+1.37 u	+144.91 u
Oct 30	Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets	Under 236.5	1.32	Win	—	+144.91 u
Oct 30	Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic	Under 237.5	1.36	Win	—	+144.91 u
Oct 30	Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks	Under 237.5	×1.80	Win	+0.80 u	+145.71 u
Oct 30	Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets	Under 235.5	1.32	Win	—	+145.71 u
Oct 29	New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings	Under 247.5	1.32	Loss	−1.00 u	+144.54 u
Oct 29	New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings	Under 245.5	1.36	Loss	−1.00 u	+143.54 u
Oct 28	Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers	Under 239.5	×1.78	Win	+0.78 u	+142.11 u
Oct 28	Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic	Over 211.5	1.35	Win	—	+142.11 u
Oct 28	Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers	Under 238.5	×1.84	Win	+0.84 u	+142.94 u
Oct 28	Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets	Under 225.5	1.35	Win	—	+142.94 u
Oct 28	Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers	Under 237.5	×1.82	Win	+0.82 u	+143.76 u
Oct 28	Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic	Over 212.5	1.32	Win	—	+143.76 u
Oct 28	Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers	Under 246.5	×1.96	Win	+0.96 u	+144.72 u
Oct 28	Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers	Under 236.5	1.44	Win	—	+144.72 u
Oct 28	Chicago Bulls vs New York Knicks	Under 244.5	×1.88	Loss	−1.00 u	+143.72 u
Oct 28	Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers	Under 245.5	1.37	Win	—	+143.72 u
Oct 28	Los Angeles Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers	Under 235.5	×1.97	Win	+0.97 u	+144.69 u
Oct 28	Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat	Over 232.5	1.36	Win	—	+144.69 u
Oct 28	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors	Under 238.5	×1.85	Win	+0.85 u	+145.54 u
Oct 28	New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets	Under 251.5	1.36	Win	—	+145.54 u
Oct 27	Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets	Over 211.5	×1.86	Loss	−1.00 u	+141.32 u
Oct 27	Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers	Under 245.5	1.37	Loss	—	+141.32 u
Oct 26	Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns	Over 208.5	×2.37	Win	+1.37 u	+140.63 u
Oct 26	Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves	Over 221.5	1.32	Win	—	+140.63 u
Oct 26	Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks	Under 240.5	1.36	Win	—	+140.63 u
Oct 26	Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards	Under 238.5	×1.85	Win	+0.85 u	+141.47 u
Oct 26	Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers	Under 250.5	1.36	Win	—	+141.47 u
Oct 26	Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards	Under 237.5	×1.85	Win	+0.85 u	+142.32 u
Oct 26	Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies	Under 248.5	1.36	Win	—	+142.32 u
Oct 25	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors	Under 242.5	×1.80	Win	+0.80 u	+139.41 u

Page 1 of 76