Methodology
How we measure
The public record is the part of the product that can be checked. Here is, with no fine print, what is counted, when and how. We do not explain the model or its rules: we explain how what it does is measured.
What a bet is in the record
Every bet is a ticket: a single pick or a parlay of several. A parlay counts as one ticket and wins only if every selection wins.
Every ticket is worth the same: 1 unit (1 u = 1 stake). That way the figures do not depend on how much anyone bets and can be compared with any other service.
When a pick is entered
Since 1 October 2026 the record writes itself: every published pick is entered before its match starts, with the line and odds that were published.
A match that has already started is not published and cannot be saved in the cart. What enters the record stays fixed: it is not edited after the match.
How every figure is computed
Hit rate: tickets won over settled tickets. Cancelled tickets do not count.
ROI: net profit divided by total staked. This is the figure that matters: a 90 % hit rate at odds of 1.05 loses money.
Balance and worst drawdown: the cumulative balance in units, ticket by ticket, and the deepest fall from a high. The record curve marks it.
Results and cancellations
Every pick is settled with the official result of the match, which comes from a results database. For Challengers it can take a few days.
A cancelled match, a retirement or no result a week later is marked as void: it neither wins nor loses, it is left out of the figures and stays visible in the record with its reason.
The odds
The reference odds are Betano's at the time of publishing. When Betano has not opened that market yet, BetPlay's are shown marked as estimated (≈).
The odds you get may differ: bookmakers move them until the first serve. The record always uses the published ones.
Why there are drawdowns
Even with an edge, a series of bets goes through bad stretches. We publish them just like the good ones: the worst drawdown is on the home page and in the record, with its dates.
It's not a streak. It's a rhythm: what is measured is the result of hundreds of bets under the same policy, not of one week.
What we do not publish
The model's rules, its exact probabilities and how it chooses each bet. We publish what helps you decide: the pick, the line, the odds and what happened.