Updated: Nov 3, 2026

Public record

Every match the system called, recorded before it was played and settled with its result. A parlay takes one row per leg and counts as a single ticket, which is why there are more rows than bets. It updates itself: every published pick goes in before its match and is closed with the result.

How we measure
All
All
All

The model

Matches 3,088 · ML accuracy 71.7 %
Matches
3,088
ML accuracy
71.7 %
Spread accuracy
67.7 %
How each figure is calculated
Matches
Rows with a result. A parlay takes one row per leg, and some called matches were never bet: that is why there are far more matches than bets.
ML accuracy
How often the model picked the actual winner. It measures the model, not the money.
Spread accuracy
How often the called line was covered. A bet can lose with the model right: the favourite wins but does not cover the handicap.

The bets

Bets 1,635 · ROI +11.1 % · P&L +182.07 u
ROI
+11.1 %
P&L
+182.07 u
Worst drawdown
−16.84 u
How each figure is calculated
ROI
Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L
In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown
The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

Cumulative balance of the public record

  • Balance
  • Worst drawdown −16.84 u· Mar 17–24
  • Now +182.07 u
Cumulative balance of the record, bet by bet, in units (1 u = 1 stake). The band marks the worst fall from a high.
Bets
1,635
Accuracy
60.5 %
Odds
1.87
Profit factor
1.28
Variability
8.55
How each figure is calculated
Accuracy
Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Profit factor
Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability
How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

Breakdowns

By month, surface, tournament type and tournament

Result by month

  • Profit
  • Loss
Nov 202627 tickets
Oct 2026122 tickets
Sep 2026122 tickets
Aug 2026223 tickets
Jul 2026219 tickets
Jun 2026211 tickets
May 2026206 tickets
Apr 2026201 tickets
−4.87 u
−6.06 u
+19.53 u
+9.33 u
+30.38 u
+9.97 u
+12.21 u
+43.97 u
By month
MonthTicketsAccuracyP&LROI
Nov 20262755.6 %−4.87 u-18.0 %
Oct 202612264.8 %−6.06 u-5.0 %
Sep 202612263.9 %+19.53 u+16.0 %
Aug 202622355.2 %+9.33 u+4.2 %
Jul 202621959.4 %+30.38 u+13.9 %
Jun 202621156.9 %+9.97 u+4.7 %
May 202620657.8 %+12.21 u+5.9 %
Apr 202620163.2 %+43.97 u+21.9 %
Mar 202618459.2 %+18.20 u+9.9 %
Feb 202612074.2 %+49.41 u+41.2 %
Total163560.5 %+182.07 u+11.1 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Match by match

3,153 rows · Page 15 of 64
  • Aug 21 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima

    Taylor Fritz−1.5 games1.75−1.00 u
  • Aug 21 · PragueWin

    Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Oleksii Krutykh

    Chun-Hsin Tseng−1.5 games1.55+0.55 u
  • Aug 20 · CancunLoss

    Coleman Wong vs Alan Magadan

    Coleman Wong−3.5 games1.52−1.00 u
  • Aug 20 · CancunWin

    Hubert Hurkacz vs Henrique Rocha

    Hubert Hurkacz−2.5 games1.48—
  • Aug 20 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils

    Arthur Fils−0.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 20 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

    Flavio Cobolli−0.5 games×3.03+2.03 u
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul

    Alexander Zverev−2.5 games1.67−1.00 u
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Arthur Fils vs Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur−0.5 games2.55−1.00 u
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Flavio Cobolli vs Rafael Jodar

    Rafael Jodar−0.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

    Felix Auger-Aliassime−0.5 games1.45—
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Lorenzo Musetti−1.5 games1.60+0.60 u
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima

    Brandon Nakashima−0.5 games1.60+0.60 u
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell

    Taylor Fritz−2.5 games×1.96−1.00 u
  • Aug 19 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik

    Jakub Mensik−0.5 games×1.89−1.00 u
  • Aug 19 · PragueLoss

    Nick Hardt vs Oleksii Krutykh

    Nick Hardt−0.5 games——
  • Aug 19 · Quebec CityWin

    Zizou Bergs vs Andrea Pellegrino

    Zizou Bergs−1.5 games——
  • Aug 18 · CancunWin

    Lloyd Harris vs Darwin Blanch

    Lloyd Harris−1.5 games1.55+0.55 u
  • Aug 18 · CancunLoss

    Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui

    Otto Virtanen−2.5 games——
  • Aug 18 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges

    Andrey Rublev−0.5 games1.55+0.55 u
  • Aug 18 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev

    Daniil Medvedev−0.5 games1.70−1.00 u
  • Aug 18 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton

    Jaime Faria−2.5 games×2.67−1.00 u
  • Aug 18 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

    Felix Auger-Aliassime−2.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 18 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe

    Frances Tiafoe−2.5 games2.20−1.00 u
  • Aug 18 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Lorenzo Musetti−0.5 games1.52+0.52 u
  • Aug 18 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida

    Taylor Fritz−3.5 games1.65+0.65 u
  • Aug 18 · Kingston 1Win

    Edward Winter vs John Chin

    Edward Winter−0.5 games——
  • Aug 18 · Kingston 1Win

    Gonzalo Bueno vs Benjamin Willwerth

    Gonzalo Bueno−4.5 games1.97+0.97 u
  • Aug 18 · Kingston 1Win

    Pedro Martinez vs Evan Zhu

    Pedro Martinez−1.5 games×2.11+1.12 u
  • Aug 18 · Kingston 1Win

    Tyler Zink vs Lucas Andrade Da Silva

    Tyler Zink−0.5 games——
  • Aug 18 · Kingston 1Win

    Valentin Royer vs Guto Miguel

    Valentin Royer−0.5 games1.16—
  • Aug 18 · PragueLoss

    Florian Broska vs Sean Cuenin

    Florian Broska−2.5 games——
  • Aug 18 · PragueWin

    Kimmer Coppejans vs Miguel Damas

    Kimmer Coppejans−2.5 games1.56+0.56 u
  • Aug 18 · PragueWin

    Nick Hardt vs Jakub Filip

    Nick Hardt−2.5 games×1.70+0.70 u
  • Aug 18 · Quebec CityWin

    Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulais

    Benjamin Bonzi−3.5 games1.50—
  • Aug 18 · Roehampton 1Win

    Charles Broom vs Filip Peliwo

    Charles Broom−3.5 games1.28—
  • Aug 18 · Roehampton 1Win

    Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes

    Michael Geerts−0.5 games1.63+0.63 u
  • Aug 18 · SionLoss

    Lorenzo Giustino vs Thiago Cigarran

    Lorenzo Giustino−5.5 games2.00−1.00 u
  • Aug 18 · SionWin

    Sandro Kopp vs Luca Wiedenmann

    Sandro Kopp−1.5 games——
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli

    Alexander Blockx−0.5 games1.80−1.00 u
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane

    Alexander Zverev−1.5 games×1.57+0.57 u
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Arthur Fery vs Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur−0.5 games1.20—
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils

    Jiri Lehecka+2.5 games×2.25−1.00 u
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

    Rafael Jodar−0.5 games×1.66+0.66 u
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik

    Jakub Mensik−0.5 games1.29—
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landaluce

    Thiago Agustin Tirante−0.5 games×2.00+1.00 u
  • Aug 17 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Tommy Paul vs Daniel Vallejo

    Tommy Paul−7.5 games1.55−1.00 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse

    Ignacio Buse+2.5 games1.89−1.00 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

    Andrey Rublev−1.5 games1.59+0.59 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersLoss

    Ben Shelton vs Jaime Faria

    Ben Shelton−4.5 games2.45−1.00 u
  • Aug 16 · Cincinnati MastersWin

    Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

    Brandon Nakashima−1.5 games×1.89+0.89 u
Page 15 of 64

Picks on trial

Bets 113 · ROI +0.4 % · P&L +0.42 u

Picks from a strategy we are still adjusting. They are published marked «In testing» and measured here, separately: they do not count in the figures above. If it proves itself it moves to the main record; if not, it is withdrawn.

Bets
113
Accuracy
68.1 %
ROI
+0.4 %
P&L
+0.42 u
DateMatchPickOddsResultP&L (u)Cumulative (u)
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−1.5 games1.44Win+0.44 u+2.89 u
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−2.5 games1.53Win+0.53 u+3.42 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−1.5 games1.65Win+0.65 u+1.67 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.45 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−3.5 games1.60Loss−1.00 u+2.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−1.5 games1.35Loss−1.00 u+1.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−2.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+0.42 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−1.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+2.02 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.02 u
Oct 27Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy CassoneSioux FallsUnder26.5 games1.50Void—+2.25 u
Oct 27Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce NakashimaSioux FallsOver18.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+1.64 u
Oct 27Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby SamuelBrestToby Samuel−3.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.42 u
Oct 26Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan SmithNingboKeegan Smith−1.5 games1.75Loss−1.00 u+2.78 u
Oct 26Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit SamrejSeoulOver18.5 games1.47Win+0.47 u+3.25 u
Oct 26Zsombor Piros vs Laslo DjereBrestOver19.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+2.25 u
Oct 26Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh BasavareddyBrestUnder29.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+2.64 u
Oct 26Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriGuayaquilDiego Dedura-Palomero−2.5 games1.60Win+0.60 u+3.02 u
Oct 23Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie CuiGuangzhouTristan Schoolkate−2.5 games1.72Loss−1.00 u+2.63 u
Oct 23Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZarateCaliFelipe Meligeni Alves−2.5 games1.40Win+0.40 u+3.03 u
Oct 23Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro KoppFlorenciaSandro Kopp−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+3.78 u
Oct 22Oriol Roca Batalla vs Dimitris SakellaridisFlorenciaOriol Roca Batalla−2.5 games1.31Win+0.31 u+2.15 u
Oct 22Coleman Wong vs Jay FriendGuangzhouColeman Wong−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+3.38 u
Oct 22Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan MayoFort WorthAidan Mayo−2.5 games1.70Win+0.70 u+4.08 u
Oct 22Andrej Nedic vs Alex Marti PujolrasFlorenciaAndrej Nedic−2.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+3.08 u
Oct 22Jie Cui vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver19.5 games1.55Win+0.55 u+3.63 u
Oct 21Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer MollerLisboaUnder25.5 games1.55Loss−1.00 u+1.57 u
Oct 21Gustavo Heide vs Juan Pablo VarillasCaliOver19.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+2.09 u
Oct 21Keegan Smith vs Fajing SunGuangzhouKeegan Smith−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.09 u
Oct 21Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista TorresCaliJuan Manuel La Serna−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+1.84 u
Oct 21Matej Dodig vs Marco CecchinatoLisboaMatej Dodig−1.5 games1.45Win+0.45 u+2.60 u
Oct 20Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver18.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+1.91 u
Oct 20Fajing Sun vs Qian SunGuangzhouFajing Sun−3.5 games1.35Win+0.35 u+1.86 u
Oct 20Sergey Fomin vs Tristan SchoolkateGuangzhouOver17.5 games1.23Win+0.23 u+1.09 u
Oct 20Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago PereiraLisboaTiago Pereira+5.5 games1.62Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerCaliNicolas Kicker+7.5 games1.29Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Matias Soto vs Samuel HerediaCaliSamuel Heredia+5.5 games1.60Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Braden Shick vs Gabriel DebruFort WorthBraden Shick+4.5 games1.28Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Nick Hardt vs Francisco ComesanaCaliOver17.5 games1.30Win+0.30 u+2.05 u
Oct 20Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La SernaCaliOver18.5 games1.37Win+0.37 u+2.80 u
Oct 20Henry Searle vs Massimo GiuntaFlorenciaOver19.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+3.19 u
Oct 20Francesco Passaro vs Gastao EliasLisboaOver17.5 games1.57Loss−1.00 u+2.53 u
Oct 20Federico Coria vs Nicolas MejiaCaliOver17.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+3.05 u
Oct 20Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonLisboaPol Martin Tiffon+1.5 sets1.55Void—+3.05 u
Oct 20Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel TobonCaliOver17.5 games1.24Win+0.24 u+3.29 u
Oct 20Filippo Romano vs Filip Cristian JianuFlorenciaOver17.5 games1.23Loss−1.00 u+2.29 u
Oct 20Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca CadenassoFlorenciaSandro Kopp+5.5 games1.30Void—+2.29 u
Oct 20Alastair Gray vs Lui MaxtedFort WorthAlastair Gray+4.5 games1.23Void—+2.67 u
Oct 20Aidan Mayo vs Colton SmithFort WorthAidan Mayo+4.5 games1.36Void—+3.27 u
Oct 20Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor MarcondesFort WorthIgor Marcondes+1.5 sets1.57Win+0.57 u+4.34 u
Oct 20Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Ozan BarisFort WorthCosme Rolland De Ravel+4.5 games1.40Void—+4.70 u