Updated: Nov 3, 2026

Public record

Every match the system called, recorded before it was played and settled with its result. A parlay takes one row per leg and counts as a single ticket, which is why there are more rows than bets. It updates itself: every published pick goes in before its match and is closed with the result.

How we measure
All
All
All

The model

Matches 3,081 · ML accuracy 71.7 %
Matches
3,081
ML accuracy
71.7 %
Spread accuracy
67.6 %
How each figure is calculated
Matches
Rows with a result. A parlay takes one row per leg, and some called matches were never bet: that is why there are far more matches than bets.
ML accuracy
How often the model picked the actual winner. It measures the model, not the money.
Spread accuracy
How often the called line was covered. A bet can lose with the model right: the favourite wins but does not cover the handicap.

The bets

Bets 1,628 · ROI +11.0 % · P&L +179.31 u
ROI
+11.0 %
P&L
+179.31 u
Worst drawdown
−18.21 u
How each figure is calculated
ROI
Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L
In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown
The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

Cumulative balance of the public record

  • Balance
  • Worst drawdown −18.21 u· Oct 6 – Nov 3
  • Now +179.31 u
Cumulative balance of the record, bet by bet, in units (1 u = 1 stake). The band marks the worst fall from a high.
Bets
1,628
Accuracy
60.4 %
Odds
1.88
Profit factor
1.28
Variability
8.65
How each figure is calculated
Accuracy
Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Profit factor
Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability
How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

Breakdowns

By month, surface, tournament type and tournament

Result by month

  • Profit
  • Loss
Nov 202620 tickets
Oct 2026122 tickets
Sep 2026122 tickets
Aug 2026223 tickets
Jul 2026219 tickets
Jun 2026211 tickets
May 2026206 tickets
Apr 2026201 tickets
−7.63 u
−6.06 u
+19.53 u
+9.33 u
+30.38 u
+9.97 u
+12.21 u
+43.97 u
By month
MonthTicketsAccuracyP&LROI
Nov 20262045.0 %−7.63 u-38.2 %
Oct 202612264.8 %−6.06 u-5.0 %
Sep 202612263.9 %+19.53 u+16.0 %
Aug 202622355.2 %+9.33 u+4.2 %
Jul 202621959.4 %+30.38 u+13.9 %
Jun 202621156.9 %+9.97 u+4.7 %
May 202620657.8 %+12.21 u+5.9 %
Apr 202620163.2 %+43.97 u+21.9 %
Mar 202618459.2 %+18.20 u+9.9 %
Feb 202612074.2 %+49.41 u+41.2 %
Total162860.4 %+179.31 u+11.0 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Match by match

3,140 rows · Page 7 of 63
  • Oct 04 · TokyoWin

    Jiri Lehecka vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

    Jiri Lehecka−2.5 games1.60+0.60 u
  • Oct 04 · BeijingWin

    Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev

    Alex de MinaurTo win the match1.78+0.78 u
  • Oct 04 · Shanghai MastersLoss

    Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz

    Lorenzo SonegoTo win the match1.24−1.00 u
  • Oct 03 · BeijingWin

    Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang

    Alexander Zverev−2.5 games1.17+0.17 u
  • Oct 03 · TokyoWin

    Ugo Humbert vs Jiri Lehecka

    Jiri LeheckaTo win the match1.60+0.60 u
  • Oct 03 · BeijingWin

    Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff

    Daniil Medvedev−1.5 games1.20+0.20 u
  • Oct 03 · CuritibaVoid

    Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

    Pedro Boscardin Dias+7.5 games1.20+0.20 u
  • Oct 03 · ColumbusLoss

    Abdullah Shelbayh vs Mitchell Krueger

    Mitchell Krueger+1.5 sets1.45−1.00 u
  • Oct 03 · TokyoLoss

    Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

    Matteo Berrettini−1.5 games1.70−1.00 u
  • Oct 03 · BeijingLoss

    Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

    Jakub MensikTo win the match1.47−1.00 u
  • Oct 03 · TokyoVoid

    Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov

    Carlos AlcarazTo win the match1.13—
  • Oct 03 · BeijingWin

    Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin

    Andrey RublevTo win the match1.70+0.70 u
  • Oct 03 · CuritibaVoid

    Guido Ivan Justo vs Tomas Barrios Vera

    Guido Ivan Justo+5.5 games1.33+0.33 u
  • Oct 03 · ColumbusVoid

    Dylan Dietrich vs Andres Andrade

    Andres Andrade+5.5 games1.36—
  • Oct 02 · BeijingLoss

    Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic

    Novak Djokovic−3.5 games1.70−1.00 u
  • Oct 02 · Porto 2Void

    Jerome Kym vs Edas Butvilas

    Edas Butvilas+1.5 games1.78—
  • Oct 02 · BeijingWin

    Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea

    Hubert Hurkacz−2.5 games2.00+1.00 u
  • Oct 02 · BariWin

    Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich

    Martin Krumich+1.5 sets1.17+0.17 u
  • Oct 02 · TokyoWin

    Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe

    Arthur FilsTo win the match1.37+0.37 u
  • Oct 02 · TokyoLoss

    Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi

    Luciano Darderi+1.5 sets1.27−1.00 u
  • Oct 02 · Mouilleron-Le-CaptifVoid

    Clement Chidekh vs Harold Mayot

    Clement Chidekh+1.5 sets1.32—
  • Oct 02 · BeijingWin

    Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

    Daniil Medvedev−1.5 games1.23+0.23 u
  • Oct 02 · TokyoWin

    Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi

    Carlos Alcaraz−3.5 games1.19+0.19 u
  • Oct 02 · CuritibaVoid

    Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel

    Pedro Boscardin Dias+2.5 games1.80—
  • Oct 02 · BeijingWin

    Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov

    Karen KhachanovTo win the match1.25+0.25 u
  • Oct 02 · Porto 2Win

    Hugo Grenier vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre

    Inaki Montes-De La Torre+1.5 sets1.27+0.27 u
  • Oct 02 · BariVoid

    Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko

    Gianluca Cadenasso+1.5 games1.93—
  • Oct 02 · Mouilleron-Le-CaptifVoid

    Clement Tabur vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

    Clement Tabur+1.5 games1.90—
  • Oct 02 · JingshanVoid

    Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny

    Alex Bolt+1.5 games1.93—
  • Oct 02 · BeijingWin

    Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys

    Alex de MinaurTo win the match1.34+0.34 u
  • Oct 02 · TokyoWin

    Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo

    Denis ShapovalovTo win the match1.60+0.60 u
  • Oct 02 · Mouilleron-Le-CaptifWin

    Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler

    Joel Schwaerzler+1.5 sets1.25+0.25 u
  • Oct 02 · CuritibaVoid

    Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Tomas Barrios Vera

    Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida+0.5 games1.85—
  • Oct 01 · TokyoWin

    Jaume Munar vs Jaime Faria

    Jaume Munar+1.5 sets1.23+0.23 u
  • Oct 01 · TokyoWin

    Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

    Stefanos Tsitsipas+1.5 sets1.20+0.20 u
  • Oct 01 · CuritibaVoid

    Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Luis Guto Miguel

    Joao Eduardo Schiessl+5.5 games1.78—
  • Sep 29 · ChengduWin

    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz

    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina+1.5 games×2.09+1.09 u
  • Sep 29 · HangzhouWin

    Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev

    Daniil Medvedev−0.5 games1.45—
  • Sep 28 · ChengduWin

    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina−2.5 games1.66+0.66 u
  • Sep 28 · ChengduWin

    Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov

    Hubert Hurkacz−2.5 games2.08+1.08 u
  • Sep 28 · HangzhouWin

    Andrey Rublev vs Kyrian Jacquet

    Andrey Rublev−1.5 games×1.99+0.99 u
  • Sep 28 · HangzhouWin

    Daniil Medvedev vs Roman Safiullin

    Daniil Medvedev−0.5 games1.42—
  • Sep 27 · ChengduWin

    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexandre Muller

    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina−3.5 games1.75+0.75 u
  • Sep 27 · ChengduWin

    Hubert Hurkacz vs Lloyd Harris

    Hubert Hurkacz−1.5 games1.75+0.75 u
  • Sep 27 · ChengduLoss

    Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

    Jenson Brooksby−0.5 games1.78—
  • Sep 27 · HangzhouWin

    Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston

    Andrey Rublev−1.5 games×1.55+0.55 u
  • Sep 27 · HangzhouWin

    Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong

    Daniil Medvedev−0.5 games1.24—
  • Sep 27 · HangzhouLoss

    Fabian Marozsan vs Kyrian Jacquet

    Fabian Marozsan−0.5 games1.80−1.00 u
  • Sep 27 · HangzhouWin

    Roman Safiullin vs Yunchaokete Bu

    Roman Safiullin−0.5 games1.80+0.80 u
  • Sep 27 · Laver CupWin

    Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien

    Alexander Zverev−3.5 games2.00+1.00 u
Page 7 of 63

Picks on trial

Bets 113 · ROI +0.4 % · P&L +0.42 u

Picks from a strategy we are still adjusting. They are published marked «In testing» and measured here, separately: they do not count in the figures above. If it proves itself it moves to the main record; if not, it is withdrawn.

Bets
113
Accuracy
68.1 %
ROI
+0.4 %
P&L
+0.42 u
DateMatchPickOddsResultP&L (u)Cumulative (u)
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−1.5 games1.44Win+0.44 u+2.89 u
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−2.5 games1.53Win+0.53 u+3.42 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−1.5 games1.65Win+0.65 u+1.67 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.45 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−3.5 games1.60Loss−1.00 u+2.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−1.5 games1.35Loss−1.00 u+1.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−2.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+0.42 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−1.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+2.02 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.02 u
Oct 27Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy CassoneSioux FallsUnder26.5 games1.50Void—+2.25 u
Oct 27Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce NakashimaSioux FallsOver18.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+1.64 u
Oct 27Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby SamuelBrestToby Samuel−3.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.42 u
Oct 26Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan SmithNingboKeegan Smith−1.5 games1.75Loss−1.00 u+2.78 u
Oct 26Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit SamrejSeoulOver18.5 games1.47Win+0.47 u+3.25 u
Oct 26Zsombor Piros vs Laslo DjereBrestOver19.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+2.25 u
Oct 26Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh BasavareddyBrestUnder29.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+2.64 u
Oct 26Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriGuayaquilDiego Dedura-Palomero−2.5 games1.60Win+0.60 u+3.02 u
Oct 23Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie CuiGuangzhouTristan Schoolkate−2.5 games1.72Loss−1.00 u+2.63 u
Oct 23Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZarateCaliFelipe Meligeni Alves−2.5 games1.40Win+0.40 u+3.03 u
Oct 23Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro KoppFlorenciaSandro Kopp−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+3.78 u
Oct 22Oriol Roca Batalla vs Dimitris SakellaridisFlorenciaOriol Roca Batalla−2.5 games1.31Win+0.31 u+2.15 u
Oct 22Coleman Wong vs Jay FriendGuangzhouColeman Wong−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+3.38 u
Oct 22Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan MayoFort WorthAidan Mayo−2.5 games1.70Win+0.70 u+4.08 u
Oct 22Andrej Nedic vs Alex Marti PujolrasFlorenciaAndrej Nedic−2.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+3.08 u
Oct 22Jie Cui vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver19.5 games1.55Win+0.55 u+3.63 u
Oct 21Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer MollerLisboaUnder25.5 games1.55Loss−1.00 u+1.57 u
Oct 21Gustavo Heide vs Juan Pablo VarillasCaliOver19.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+2.09 u
Oct 21Keegan Smith vs Fajing SunGuangzhouKeegan Smith−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.09 u
Oct 21Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista TorresCaliJuan Manuel La Serna−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+1.84 u
Oct 21Matej Dodig vs Marco CecchinatoLisboaMatej Dodig−1.5 games1.45Win+0.45 u+2.60 u
Oct 20Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver18.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+1.91 u
Oct 20Fajing Sun vs Qian SunGuangzhouFajing Sun−3.5 games1.35Win+0.35 u+1.86 u
Oct 20Sergey Fomin vs Tristan SchoolkateGuangzhouOver17.5 games1.23Win+0.23 u+1.09 u
Oct 20Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago PereiraLisboaTiago Pereira+5.5 games1.62Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerCaliNicolas Kicker+7.5 games1.29Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Matias Soto vs Samuel HerediaCaliSamuel Heredia+5.5 games1.60Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Braden Shick vs Gabriel DebruFort WorthBraden Shick+4.5 games1.28Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Nick Hardt vs Francisco ComesanaCaliOver17.5 games1.30Win+0.30 u+2.05 u
Oct 20Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La SernaCaliOver18.5 games1.37Win+0.37 u+2.80 u
Oct 20Henry Searle vs Massimo GiuntaFlorenciaOver19.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+3.19 u
Oct 20Francesco Passaro vs Gastao EliasLisboaOver17.5 games1.57Loss−1.00 u+2.53 u
Oct 20Federico Coria vs Nicolas MejiaCaliOver17.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+3.05 u
Oct 20Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonLisboaPol Martin Tiffon+1.5 sets1.55Void—+3.05 u
Oct 20Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel TobonCaliOver17.5 games1.24Win+0.24 u+3.29 u
Oct 20Filippo Romano vs Filip Cristian JianuFlorenciaOver17.5 games1.23Loss−1.00 u+2.29 u
Oct 20Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca CadenassoFlorenciaSandro Kopp+5.5 games1.30Void—+2.29 u
Oct 20Alastair Gray vs Lui MaxtedFort WorthAlastair Gray+4.5 games1.23Void—+2.67 u
Oct 20Aidan Mayo vs Colton SmithFort WorthAidan Mayo+4.5 games1.36Void—+3.27 u
Oct 20Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor MarcondesFort WorthIgor Marcondes+1.5 sets1.57Win+0.57 u+4.34 u
Oct 20Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Ozan BarisFort WorthCosme Rolland De Ravel+4.5 games1.40Void—+4.70 u