Updated: Nov 4, 2026

Public record

Every match the system called, recorded before it was played and settled with its result. A parlay takes one row per leg and counts as a single ticket, which is why there are more rows than bets. It updates itself: every published pick goes in before its match and is closed with the result.

How we measure
All
All
All

The model

Matches 3,095 · ML accuracy 71.7 %
Matches
3,095
ML accuracy
71.7 %
Spread accuracy
67.7 %
How each figure is calculated
Matches
Rows with a result. A parlay takes one row per leg, and some called matches were never bet: that is why there are far more matches than bets.
ML accuracy
How often the model picked the actual winner. It measures the model, not the money.
Spread accuracy
How often the called line was covered. A bet can lose with the model right: the favourite wins but does not cover the handicap.

The bets

Bets 1,642 · ROI +11.2 % · P&L +183.10 u
ROI
+11.2 %
P&L
+183.10 u
Worst drawdown
−16.84 u
How each figure is calculated
ROI
Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L
In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown
The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

Cumulative balance of the public record

  • Balance
  • Worst drawdown −16.84 u· Mar 17–24
  • Now +183.10 u
Cumulative balance of the record, bet by bet, in units (1 u = 1 stake). The band marks the worst fall from a high.
Bets
1,642
Accuracy
60.5 %
Odds
1.87
Profit factor
1.28
Variability
8.53
How each figure is calculated
Accuracy
Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Profit factor
Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability
How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

Breakdowns

By month, surface, tournament type and tournament

Result by month

  • Profit
  • Loss
Nov 202634 tickets
Oct 2026122 tickets
Sep 2026122 tickets
Aug 2026223 tickets
Jul 2026219 tickets
Jun 2026211 tickets
May 2026206 tickets
Apr 2026201 tickets
−3.84 u
−6.06 u
+19.53 u
+9.33 u
+30.38 u
+9.97 u
+12.21 u
+43.97 u
By month
MonthTicketsAccuracyP&LROI
Nov 20263458.8 %−3.84 u-11.3 %
Oct 202612264.8 %−6.06 u-5.0 %
Sep 202612263.9 %+19.53 u+16.0 %
Aug 202622355.2 %+9.33 u+4.2 %
Jul 202621959.4 %+30.38 u+13.9 %
Jun 202621156.9 %+9.97 u+4.7 %
May 202620657.8 %+12.21 u+5.9 %
Apr 202620163.2 %+43.97 u+21.9 %
Mar 202618459.2 %+18.20 u+9.9 %
Feb 202612074.2 %+49.41 u+41.2 %
Total164260.5 %+183.10 u+11.2 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Match by match

3,154 rows · Page 32 of 64
  • Jun 21 · MallorcaLoss

    Yannick Hanfmann vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

    Adolfo Daniel Vallejo−1.5 games1.28—
  • Jun 21 · RoyanWin

    Max Alcala Gurri vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel

    Max Alcala Gurri−3.5 games1.83+0.83 u
  • Jun 20 · HalleWin

    Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz

    Alexander Zverev+1.5 sets1.22—
  • Jun 20 · HalleWin

    Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe

    Frances Tiafoe−0.5 games×2.53+1.53 u
  • Jun 20 · London (Queen's)Win

    Francisco Cerundolo vs Brandon Nakashima

    Francisco Cerundolo+2.5 games1.83+0.83 u
  • Jun 20 · London (Queen's)Win

    Tommy Paul vs Ugo Humbert

    Tommy Paul−0.5 games1.55—
  • Jun 20 · NottinghamWin

    Otto Virtanen vs Zhizhen Zhang

    Otto Virtanen−0.5 games——
  • Jun 20 · ParmaWin

    Luca Van Assche vs Daniel Rincon

    Luca Van Assche−2.5 games——
  • Jun 20 · PoznanWin

    Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Michele Ribecai

    Facundo Diaz Acosta−1.5 games——
  • Jun 19 · AsuncionLoss

    Juan Manuel La Serna vs Conner Huertas del Pino

    Juan Manuel La Serna−0.5 games——
  • Jun 19 · HalleLoss

    Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon

    Alexander Zverev−2.5 games×1.67−1.00 u
  • Jun 19 · HalleWin

    Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz

    Taylor Fritz−0.5 games1.81+0.81 u
  • Jun 19 · HalleLoss

    Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev

    Daniil Medvedev−0.5 games1.15—
  • Jun 19 · HalleWin

    Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

    Felix Auger-Aliassime+1.5 sets1.45—
  • Jun 19 · London (Queen's)Loss

    Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima

    Alex de Minaur−0.5 games×1.99−1.00 u
  • Jun 19 · London (Queen's)Win

    Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo

    Francisco Cerundolo−0.5 games1.60+0.60 u
  • Jun 19 · London (Queen's)Loss

    Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

    Tommy Paul−0.5 games×1.92−1.00 u
  • Jun 19 · London (Queen's)Win

    Ugo Humbert vs Rinky Hijikata

    Ugo Humbert+1.5 sets1.20—
  • Jun 19 · PoznanWin

    Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Florian Broska

    Facundo Diaz Acosta−0.5 games——
  • Jun 19 · RoyanWin

    Kilian Feldbausch vs Leo Raquillet

    Kilian Feldbausch−1.5 games——
  • Jun 18 · Asuncion 2Win

    Guido Ivan Justo vs Juan Sebastian Gomez

    Guido Ivan Justo−1.5 games1.11—
  • Jun 18 · DublinWin

    Grigor Dimitrov vs Conor Gannon

    Grigor Dimitrov−4.5 games1.88+0.88 u
  • Jun 18 · HalleWin

    Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmann

    Alexander Zverev−0.5 games1.18—
  • Jun 18 · HalleLoss

    Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn

    Ben Shelton−4.5 games3.20−1.00 u
  • Jun 18 · HalleWin

    Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor Fritz

    Taylor Fritz−1.5 games×1.56+0.56 u
  • Jun 18 · HalleWin

    Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Bellucci

    Raphael Collignon−0.5 games1.80+0.80 u
  • Jun 18 · London (Queen's)Win

    Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina−1.5 games1.67+0.67 u
  • Jun 18 · London (Queen's)Win

    Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert

    Ugo Humbert+1.5 sets1.21—
  • Jun 18 · London (Queen's)Loss

    Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka

    Jiri Lehecka−1.5 games1.40—
  • Jun 18 · London (Queen's)Loss

    Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulp

    Tommy Paul−0.5 games×2.17−1.00 u
  • Jun 18 · Nottingham 2Win

    Otto Virtanen vs Felix Gill

    Otto Virtanen−1.5 games×1.67+0.67 u
  • Jun 18 · ParmaWin

    Laslo Djere vs Ryan Seggerman

    Laslo Djere−0.5 games1.16—
  • Jun 18 · RoyanWin

    Kilian Feldbausch vs Svyatoslav Gulin

    Kilian Feldbausch−1.5 games1.37—
  • Jun 17 · AsuncionWin

    Guido Ivan Justo vs Juan Sebastian Gomez

    Guido Ivan Justo−1.5 games——
  • Jun 17 · AsuncionLoss

    Matias Soto vs Santiago De La Fuente

    Matias Soto−6.5 games——
  • Jun 17 · HalleWin

    Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego

    Ben Shelton−3.5 games1.72+0.72 u
  • Jun 17 · HalleWin

    Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro

    Frances Tiafoe−0.5 games×1.76+0.76 u
  • Jun 17 · HalleLoss

    Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaier

    Hubert Hurkacz−1.5 games1.26—
  • Jun 17 · HalleWin

    Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

    Felix Auger-Aliassime−1.5 games1.90+0.90 u
  • Jun 17 · HalleLoss

    Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedev

    Daniil Medvedev−0.5 games×1.72−1.00 u
  • Jun 17 · HalleLoss

    Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz

    Taylor Fritz−2.5 games1.46—
  • Jun 17 · London (Queen's)Loss

    Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery

    Adrian Mannarino−0.5 games1.78−1.00 u
  • Jun 17 · London (Queen's)Win

    Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov

    Alex de Minaur−0.5 games1.26—
  • Jun 17 · London (Queen's)Win

    Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Buse

    Brandon Nakashima−0.5 games×1.61+0.61 u
  • Jun 17 · London (Queen's)Win

    Jenson Brooksby vs Francisco Cerundolo

    Francisco Cerundolo−2.5 games1.78+0.78 u
  • Jun 17 · NottinghamWin

    Otto Virtanen vs Felix Gill

    Otto Virtanen−1.5 games——
  • Jun 17 · ParmaWin

    Sebastian Ofner vs Enrico Dalla Valle

    Sebastian Ofner−2.5 games——
  • Jun 17 · PoznanWin

    Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos

    Dalibor Svrcina−0.5 games——
  • Jun 17 · PoznanWin

    Gustavo Heide vs Maxim Mrva

    Gustavo Heide−3.5 games——
  • Jun 17 · PoznanWin

    Jan Choinski vs Maks Kasnikowski

    Jan Choinski−0.5 games——
Page 32 of 64

Picks on trial

Bets 113 · ROI +0.4 % · P&L +0.42 u

Picks from a strategy we are still adjusting. They are published marked «In testing» and measured here, separately: they do not count in the figures above. If it proves itself it moves to the main record; if not, it is withdrawn.

Bets
113
Accuracy
68.1 %
ROI
+0.4 %
P&L
+0.42 u
DateMatchPickOddsResultP&L (u)Cumulative (u)
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−1.5 games1.44Win+0.44 u+2.89 u
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−2.5 games1.53Win+0.53 u+3.42 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−1.5 games1.65Win+0.65 u+1.67 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.45 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−3.5 games1.60Loss−1.00 u+2.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−1.5 games1.35Loss−1.00 u+1.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−2.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+0.42 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−1.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+2.02 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.02 u
Oct 27Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy CassoneSioux FallsUnder26.5 games1.50Void—+2.25 u
Oct 27Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce NakashimaSioux FallsOver18.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+1.64 u
Oct 27Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby SamuelBrestToby Samuel−3.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.42 u
Oct 26Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan SmithNingboKeegan Smith−1.5 games1.75Loss−1.00 u+2.78 u
Oct 26Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit SamrejSeoulOver18.5 games1.47Win+0.47 u+3.25 u
Oct 26Zsombor Piros vs Laslo DjereBrestOver19.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+2.25 u
Oct 26Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh BasavareddyBrestUnder29.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+2.64 u
Oct 26Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriGuayaquilDiego Dedura-Palomero−2.5 games1.60Win+0.60 u+3.02 u
Oct 23Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie CuiGuangzhouTristan Schoolkate−2.5 games1.72Loss−1.00 u+2.63 u
Oct 23Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZarateCaliFelipe Meligeni Alves−2.5 games1.40Win+0.40 u+3.03 u
Oct 23Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro KoppFlorenciaSandro Kopp−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+3.78 u
Oct 22Oriol Roca Batalla vs Dimitris SakellaridisFlorenciaOriol Roca Batalla−2.5 games1.31Win+0.31 u+2.15 u
Oct 22Coleman Wong vs Jay FriendGuangzhouColeman Wong−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+3.38 u
Oct 22Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan MayoFort WorthAidan Mayo−2.5 games1.70Win+0.70 u+4.08 u
Oct 22Andrej Nedic vs Alex Marti PujolrasFlorenciaAndrej Nedic−2.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+3.08 u
Oct 22Jie Cui vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver19.5 games1.55Win+0.55 u+3.63 u
Oct 21Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer MollerLisboaUnder25.5 games1.55Loss−1.00 u+1.57 u
Oct 21Gustavo Heide vs Juan Pablo VarillasCaliOver19.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+2.09 u
Oct 21Keegan Smith vs Fajing SunGuangzhouKeegan Smith−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.09 u
Oct 21Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista TorresCaliJuan Manuel La Serna−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+1.84 u
Oct 21Matej Dodig vs Marco CecchinatoLisboaMatej Dodig−1.5 games1.45Win+0.45 u+2.60 u
Oct 20Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver18.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+1.91 u
Oct 20Fajing Sun vs Qian SunGuangzhouFajing Sun−3.5 games1.35Win+0.35 u+1.86 u
Oct 20Sergey Fomin vs Tristan SchoolkateGuangzhouOver17.5 games1.23Win+0.23 u+1.09 u
Oct 20Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago PereiraLisboaTiago Pereira+5.5 games1.62Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerCaliNicolas Kicker+7.5 games1.29Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Matias Soto vs Samuel HerediaCaliSamuel Heredia+5.5 games1.60Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Braden Shick vs Gabriel DebruFort WorthBraden Shick+4.5 games1.28Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Nick Hardt vs Francisco ComesanaCaliOver17.5 games1.30Win+0.30 u+2.05 u
Oct 20Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La SernaCaliOver18.5 games1.37Win+0.37 u+2.80 u
Oct 20Henry Searle vs Massimo GiuntaFlorenciaOver19.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+3.19 u
Oct 20Francesco Passaro vs Gastao EliasLisboaOver17.5 games1.57Loss−1.00 u+2.53 u
Oct 20Federico Coria vs Nicolas MejiaCaliOver17.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+3.05 u
Oct 20Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonLisboaPol Martin Tiffon+1.5 sets1.55Void—+3.05 u
Oct 20Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel TobonCaliOver17.5 games1.24Win+0.24 u+3.29 u
Oct 20Filippo Romano vs Filip Cristian JianuFlorenciaOver17.5 games1.23Loss−1.00 u+2.29 u
Oct 20Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca CadenassoFlorenciaSandro Kopp+5.5 games1.30Void—+2.29 u
Oct 20Alastair Gray vs Lui MaxtedFort WorthAlastair Gray+4.5 games1.23Void—+2.67 u
Oct 20Aidan Mayo vs Colton SmithFort WorthAidan Mayo+4.5 games1.36Void—+3.27 u
Oct 20Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor MarcondesFort WorthIgor Marcondes+1.5 sets1.57Win+0.57 u+4.34 u
Oct 20Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Ozan BarisFort WorthCosme Rolland De Ravel+4.5 games1.40Void—+4.70 u