Updated: Nov 3, 2026

Public record

Every match the system called, recorded before it was played and settled with its result. A parlay takes one row per leg and counts as a single ticket, which is why there are more rows than bets. It updates itself: every published pick goes in before its match and is closed with the result.

How we measure
All
All
All

The model

Matches 3,088 · ML accuracy 71.7 %
Matches
3,088
ML accuracy
71.7 %
Spread accuracy
67.7 %
How each figure is calculated
Matches
Rows with a result. A parlay takes one row per leg, and some called matches were never bet: that is why there are far more matches than bets.
ML accuracy
How often the model picked the actual winner. It measures the model, not the money.
Spread accuracy
How often the called line was covered. A bet can lose with the model right: the favourite wins but does not cover the handicap.

The bets

Bets 1,635 · ROI +11.1 % · P&L +182.07 u
ROI
+11.1 %
P&L
+182.07 u
Worst drawdown
−16.84 u
How each figure is calculated
ROI
Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L
In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown
The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

Cumulative balance of the public record

  • Balance
  • Worst drawdown −16.84 u· Mar 17–24
  • Now +182.07 u
Cumulative balance of the record, bet by bet, in units (1 u = 1 stake). The band marks the worst fall from a high.
Bets
1,635
Accuracy
60.5 %
Odds
1.87
Profit factor
1.28
Variability
8.55
How each figure is calculated
Accuracy
Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Profit factor
Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability
How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

Breakdowns

By month, surface, tournament type and tournament

Result by month

  • Profit
  • Loss
Nov 202627 tickets
Oct 2026122 tickets
Sep 2026122 tickets
Aug 2026223 tickets
Jul 2026219 tickets
Jun 2026211 tickets
May 2026206 tickets
Apr 2026201 tickets
−4.87 u
−6.06 u
+19.53 u
+9.33 u
+30.38 u
+9.97 u
+12.21 u
+43.97 u
By month
MonthTicketsAccuracyP&LROI
Nov 20262755.6 %−4.87 u-18.0 %
Oct 202612264.8 %−6.06 u-5.0 %
Sep 202612263.9 %+19.53 u+16.0 %
Aug 202622355.2 %+9.33 u+4.2 %
Jul 202621959.4 %+30.38 u+13.9 %
Jun 202621156.9 %+9.97 u+4.7 %
May 202620657.8 %+12.21 u+5.9 %
Apr 202620163.2 %+43.97 u+21.9 %
Mar 202618459.2 %+18.20 u+9.9 %
Feb 202612074.2 %+49.41 u+41.2 %
Total163560.5 %+182.07 u+11.1 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Match by match

3,153 rows · Page 18 of 64
  • Aug 07 · LexingtonWin

    Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Gorzny

    Andre Ilagan−2.5 games——
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersWin

    Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

    Thiago Agustin Tirante+0.5 games×2.10+1.10 u
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz

    Hubert Hurkacz−2.5 games1.83−1.00 u
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

    Casper Ruud+1.5 games×2.18−1.00 u
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Daniel Merida vs Alex Michelsen

    Alex Michelsen−1.5 games1.56−1.00 u
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul

    Tommy Paul−1.5 games1.66−1.00 u
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersWin

    Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi

    Matteo Arnaldi+2.5 games×3.50+2.50 u
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersWin

    Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik

    Jakub Mensik−0.5 games1.48—
  • Aug 07 · Montreal MastersWin

    Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton

    Ben Shelton−1.5 games×2.03+1.03 u
  • Aug 06 · LexingtonLoss

    Borna Gojo vs Sebastian Gorzny

    Borna Gojo−0.5 games×1.73−1.00 u
  • Aug 06 · LexingtonLoss

    Soonwoo Kwon vs Andre Ilagan

    Soonwoo Kwon−2.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersWin

    Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet

    Brandon Nakashima−0.5 games1.27—
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur

    Alex De Minaur−0.5 games×1.95−1.00 u
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersWin

    Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

    Arthur Rinderknech+2.5 games1.87—
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx

    Alexander Blockx+2.5 games×2.75−1.00 u
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersWin

    Juncheng Shang vs Luciano Darderi

    Luciano Darderi+0.5 games×2.00+1.00 u
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersWin

    Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils

    Arthur Fils−2.5 games×1.90+0.90 u
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersWin

    Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Rafael Jodar−0.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 06 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borges

    Yannick Hanfmann+2.5 games×2.60−1.00 u
  • Aug 06 · Plovdiv 2Loss

    Petr Brunclik vs Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou

    Petr Brunclik−3.5 games1.51−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo

    Francisco Cerundolo+1.5 games×2.30−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor

    Alexander Zverev−2.5 games×1.70−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

    Casper Ruud−2.5 games1.50+0.50 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Daniil Medvedev vs Botic Van De Zandschulp

    Daniil Medvedev−2.5 games×2.13−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi

    Fabian Marozsan−2.5 games2.00−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo

    Alejandro Tabilo+1.5 games×2.50−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie

    Cameron Norrie+1.5 sets1.16—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik

    Jakub Mensik−2.5 games1.59+0.59 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton

    Ben Shelton−3.5 games×2.34+1.34 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmane

    Terence Atmane+1.5 games×2.20−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Learner Tien vs Gael Monfils

    Learner Tien−0.5 games×1.89−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknech

    Arthur Rinderknech−0.5 games2.03+1.03 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Lorenzo Musetti−0.5 games×1.51+0.51 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

    Nuno Borges+1.5 sets1.20—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrin

    Raphael Collignon−0.5 games1.55−1.00 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca

    Joao Fonseca−0.5 games×2.06+1.06 u
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz

    Taylor Fritz−2.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Titouan Droguet vs Jaime Faria

    Jaime Faria+1.5 sets1.22—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida

    Ugo Humbert+1.5 sets1.13—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Valentin Royer vs Tommy Paul

    Tommy Paul−0.5 games1.16—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone

    Valentin Vacherot+1.5 sets1.22—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersWin

    Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Fils

    Arthur Fils−0.5 games1.30—
  • Aug 05 · Montreal MastersLoss

    Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baez

    Sebastian Baez+2.5 games×2.30−1.00 u
  • Aug 04 · Grodzisk MazowieckiWin

    Damir Dzumhur vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux

    Damir Dzumhur−0.5 games×1.86+0.86 u
  • Aug 04 · Grodzisk MazowieckiLoss

    Daniil Glinka vs Fares Zakaria

    Daniil Glinka−2.5 games×1.64−1.00 u
  • Aug 04 · Grodzisk MazowieckiWin

    Harold Mayot vs Filip Pieczonka

    Harold Mayot−2.5 games1.24—
  • Aug 04 · Grodzisk MazowieckiWin

    Ilya Ivashka vs Ergi Kirkin

    Ilya Ivashka−4.5 games——
  • Aug 04 · Grodzisk MazowieckiWin

    Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Filip Peliwo

    Ivan Marrero Curbelo−2.5 games——
  • Aug 04 · Grodzisk MazowieckiWin

    Joel Schwaerzler vs Jiri Cizek

    Joel Schwaerzler−0.5 games1.10—
  • Aug 04 · HagenWin

    Diego Dedura vs Dominik Recek

    Diego Dedura−0.5 games1.09—
Page 18 of 64

Picks on trial

Bets 113 · ROI +0.4 % · P&L +0.42 u

Picks from a strategy we are still adjusting. They are published marked «In testing» and measured here, separately: they do not count in the figures above. If it proves itself it moves to the main record; if not, it is withdrawn.

Bets
113
Accuracy
68.1 %
ROI
+0.4 %
P&L
+0.42 u
DateMatchPickOddsResultP&L (u)Cumulative (u)
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−1.5 games1.44Win+0.44 u+2.89 u
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−2.5 games1.53Win+0.53 u+3.42 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−1.5 games1.65Win+0.65 u+1.67 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.45 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−3.5 games1.60Loss−1.00 u+2.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−1.5 games1.35Loss−1.00 u+1.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−2.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+0.42 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−1.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+2.02 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.02 u
Oct 27Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy CassoneSioux FallsUnder26.5 games1.50Void—+2.25 u
Oct 27Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce NakashimaSioux FallsOver18.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+1.64 u
Oct 27Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby SamuelBrestToby Samuel−3.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.42 u
Oct 26Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan SmithNingboKeegan Smith−1.5 games1.75Loss−1.00 u+2.78 u
Oct 26Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit SamrejSeoulOver18.5 games1.47Win+0.47 u+3.25 u
Oct 26Zsombor Piros vs Laslo DjereBrestOver19.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+2.25 u
Oct 26Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh BasavareddyBrestUnder29.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+2.64 u
Oct 26Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriGuayaquilDiego Dedura-Palomero−2.5 games1.60Win+0.60 u+3.02 u
Oct 23Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie CuiGuangzhouTristan Schoolkate−2.5 games1.72Loss−1.00 u+2.63 u
Oct 23Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZarateCaliFelipe Meligeni Alves−2.5 games1.40Win+0.40 u+3.03 u
Oct 23Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro KoppFlorenciaSandro Kopp−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+3.78 u
Oct 22Oriol Roca Batalla vs Dimitris SakellaridisFlorenciaOriol Roca Batalla−2.5 games1.31Win+0.31 u+2.15 u
Oct 22Coleman Wong vs Jay FriendGuangzhouColeman Wong−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+3.38 u
Oct 22Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan MayoFort WorthAidan Mayo−2.5 games1.70Win+0.70 u+4.08 u
Oct 22Andrej Nedic vs Alex Marti PujolrasFlorenciaAndrej Nedic−2.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+3.08 u
Oct 22Jie Cui vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver19.5 games1.55Win+0.55 u+3.63 u
Oct 21Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer MollerLisboaUnder25.5 games1.55Loss−1.00 u+1.57 u
Oct 21Gustavo Heide vs Juan Pablo VarillasCaliOver19.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+2.09 u
Oct 21Keegan Smith vs Fajing SunGuangzhouKeegan Smith−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.09 u
Oct 21Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista TorresCaliJuan Manuel La Serna−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+1.84 u
Oct 21Matej Dodig vs Marco CecchinatoLisboaMatej Dodig−1.5 games1.45Win+0.45 u+2.60 u
Oct 20Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver18.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+1.91 u
Oct 20Fajing Sun vs Qian SunGuangzhouFajing Sun−3.5 games1.35Win+0.35 u+1.86 u
Oct 20Sergey Fomin vs Tristan SchoolkateGuangzhouOver17.5 games1.23Win+0.23 u+1.09 u
Oct 20Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago PereiraLisboaTiago Pereira+5.5 games1.62Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerCaliNicolas Kicker+7.5 games1.29Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Matias Soto vs Samuel HerediaCaliSamuel Heredia+5.5 games1.60Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Braden Shick vs Gabriel DebruFort WorthBraden Shick+4.5 games1.28Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Nick Hardt vs Francisco ComesanaCaliOver17.5 games1.30Win+0.30 u+2.05 u
Oct 20Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La SernaCaliOver18.5 games1.37Win+0.37 u+2.80 u
Oct 20Henry Searle vs Massimo GiuntaFlorenciaOver19.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+3.19 u
Oct 20Francesco Passaro vs Gastao EliasLisboaOver17.5 games1.57Loss−1.00 u+2.53 u
Oct 20Federico Coria vs Nicolas MejiaCaliOver17.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+3.05 u
Oct 20Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonLisboaPol Martin Tiffon+1.5 sets1.55Void—+3.05 u
Oct 20Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel TobonCaliOver17.5 games1.24Win+0.24 u+3.29 u
Oct 20Filippo Romano vs Filip Cristian JianuFlorenciaOver17.5 games1.23Loss−1.00 u+2.29 u
Oct 20Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca CadenassoFlorenciaSandro Kopp+5.5 games1.30Void—+2.29 u
Oct 20Alastair Gray vs Lui MaxtedFort WorthAlastair Gray+4.5 games1.23Void—+2.67 u
Oct 20Aidan Mayo vs Colton SmithFort WorthAidan Mayo+4.5 games1.36Void—+3.27 u
Oct 20Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor MarcondesFort WorthIgor Marcondes+1.5 sets1.57Win+0.57 u+4.34 u
Oct 20Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Ozan BarisFort WorthCosme Rolland De Ravel+4.5 games1.40Void—+4.70 u