Updated: Nov 3, 2026

Public record

Every match the system called, recorded before it was played and settled with its result. A parlay takes one row per leg and counts as a single ticket, which is why there are more rows than bets. It updates itself: every published pick goes in before its match and is closed with the result.

How we measure
All
All
All

The model

Matches 3,087 · ML accuracy 71.7 %
Matches
3,087
ML accuracy
71.7 %
Spread accuracy
67.7 %
How each figure is calculated
Matches
Rows with a result. A parlay takes one row per leg, and some called matches were never bet: that is why there are far more matches than bets.
ML accuracy
How often the model picked the actual winner. It measures the model, not the money.
Spread accuracy
How often the called line was covered. A bet can lose with the model right: the favourite wins but does not cover the handicap.

The bets

Bets 1,634 · ROI +11.2 % · P&L +183.07 u
ROI
+11.2 %
P&L
+183.07 u
Worst drawdown
−16.84 u
How each figure is calculated
ROI
Net profit divided by total amount staked, flat stake, over every recorded bet.
P&L
In units: 1 unit = 1 stake, so the record does not depend on how much anyone bets.
Worst drawdown
The deepest fall from a high. This is what has to be sat through.

Cumulative balance of the public record

  • Balance
  • Worst drawdown −16.84 u· Mar 17–24
  • Now +183.07 u
Cumulative balance of the record, bet by bet, in units (1 u = 1 stake). The band marks the worst fall from a high.
Bets
1,634
Accuracy
60.5 %
Odds
1.88
Profit factor
1.28
Variability
8.49
How each figure is calculated
Accuracy
Tickets won over tickets settled. A parlay counts as a single ticket: it wins only if every leg wins.
Profit factor
Winnings divided by losses. Above 1 the record makes money.
Variability
How much the result swings around its mean. The higher it is, the noisier and less reliable the ROI still is.

Breakdowns

By month, surface, tournament type and tournament

Result by month

  • Profit
  • Loss
Nov 202626 tickets
Oct 2026122 tickets
Sep 2026122 tickets
Aug 2026223 tickets
Jul 2026219 tickets
Jun 2026211 tickets
May 2026206 tickets
Apr 2026201 tickets
−3.87 u
−6.06 u
+19.53 u
+9.33 u
+30.38 u
+9.97 u
+12.21 u
+43.97 u
By month
MonthTicketsAccuracyP&LROI
Nov 20262657.7 %−3.87 u-14.9 %
Oct 202612264.8 %−6.06 u-5.0 %
Sep 202612263.9 %+19.53 u+16.0 %
Aug 202622355.2 %+9.33 u+4.2 %
Jul 202621959.4 %+30.38 u+13.9 %
Jun 202621156.9 %+9.97 u+4.7 %
May 202620657.8 %+12.21 u+5.9 %
Apr 202620163.2 %+43.97 u+21.9 %
Mar 202618459.2 %+18.20 u+9.9 %
Feb 202612074.2 %+49.41 u+41.2 %
Total163460.5 %+183.07 u+11.2 %

Every ticket counts in one row only, so each table adds up to the summary. «Mixed parlay» is a parlay whose legs differ; «No data», older tickets that did not store it.

Match by match

3,148 rows · Page 12 of 63
  • Sep 04 · US OpenLoss

    Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe

    Valentin Vacherot+2.5 games1.83−1.00 u
  • Sep 04 · US OpenWin

    Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz

    Carlos Alcaraz−5.5 games1.34—
  • Sep 03 · US OpenWin

    Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti

    Alexander Blockx−3.5 games1.34—
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo

    Alejandro Tabilo−4.5 games2.57−1.00 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse

    Ignacio Buse−1.5 games1.78−1.00 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaur

    Alex de Minaur−2.5 games×1.96−1.00 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Lorenzo Musetti−4.5 games1.12—
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov

    Felix Auger-Aliassime−3.5 games1.62−1.00 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenWin

    Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien

    Learner Tien−3.5 games1.37—
  • Sep 03 · US OpenWin

    Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov

    Jakub Mensik−3.5 games×1.57+0.57 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenWin

    Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo

    Francisco Cerundolo−2.5 games1.72+0.72 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina

    Dalibor Svrcina+2.5 games1.85−1.00 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenWin

    Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci

    Taylor Fritz−4.5 games×1.76+0.76 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenWin

    Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobolli

    Flavio Cobolli−2.5 games1.27—
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng

    Yunchaokete Bu+3.5 games1.85−1.00 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenLoss

    Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea

    Arthur Gea+0.5 games1.82−1.00 u
  • Sep 03 · US OpenWin

    Zizou Bergs vs Jesper de Jong

    Zizou Bergs−0.5 games1.34+0.34 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino

    Alexander Bublik−3.5 games1.50+0.50 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacz

    Ben Shelton−3.5 games1.78+0.78 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen

    Alex Michelsen+4.5 games1.70+0.70 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenLoss

    Daniel Merida vs Andrey Rublev

    Andrey Rublev−1.5 games1.82−1.00 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Gorzny

    Daniil Medvedev−6.5 games1.32—
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche

    Denis Shapovalov+1.5 sets1.33—
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Dino Prizmic vs Tommy Paul

    Tommy Paul−1.5 games×1.73+0.73 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz

    Carlos Alcaraz−5.5 games×1.79+0.79 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu

    Yibing Wu−0.5 games1.65+0.65 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech

    Arthur Rinderknech−0.5 games1.50+0.50 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel

    Jiri Lehecka+1.5 sets×1.54+0.54 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

    Stefanos Tsitsipas−0.5 games1.40—
  • Sep 02 · US OpenLoss

    Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

    Matteo Berrettini−0.5 games1.65−1.00 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe

    Frances Tiafoe−2.5 games1.37—
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley

    Tomas Martin Etcheverry+1.5 sets1.37+0.37 u
  • Sep 02 · US OpenWin

    Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak

    Kamil Majchrzak+5.5 games×1.68+0.68 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenLoss

    Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Gael Monfils

    Adolfo Daniel Vallejo−3.5 games2.18−1.00 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenLoss

    Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi

    Alex Molcan+0.5 games2.55−1.00 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur

    Alex de Minaur−5.5 games1.19—
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Lorenzo Musetti−1.5 games1.30—
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff

    Jan-Lennard Struff−1.5 games1.55+0.55 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet

    Corentin Moutet+1.5 sets1.00—
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng

    Michael Zheng+1.5 sets1.34+0.34 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo

    Francisco Cerundolo−4.5 games1.18—
  • Sep 01 · US OpenLoss

    Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli

    Flavio Cobolli−1.5 games1.27—
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Jan Choinski vs Botic van de Zandschulp

    Botic van de Zandschulp−3.5 games1.50+0.50 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro

    Jesper de Jong−3.5 games2.12+1.12 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea

    Arthur Gea+1.5 sets1.39+0.39 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse

    Ignacio Buse−1.5 games1.78+0.78 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros

    Mattia Bellucci−1.5 games1.52+0.52 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenLoss

    Nishesh Basavareddy vs Tristan Schoolkate

    Nishesh Basavareddy−2.5 games×1.89−1.00 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

    Rafael Jodar−2.5 games×1.83+0.83 u
  • Sep 01 · US OpenWin

    Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch

    Taylor Fritz−6.5 games1.44—
Page 12 of 63

Picks on trial

Bets 113 · ROI +0.4 % · P&L +0.42 u

Picks from a strategy we are still adjusting. They are published marked «In testing» and measured here, separately: they do not count in the figures above. If it proves itself it moves to the main record; if not, it is withdrawn.

Bets
113
Accuracy
68.1 %
ROI
+0.4 %
P&L
+0.42 u
DateMatchPickOddsResultP&L (u)Cumulative (u)
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−1.5 games1.44Win+0.44 u+2.89 u
Oct 30Terence Atmane vs Seongchan HongSeoulTerence Atmane−2.5 games1.53Win+0.53 u+3.42 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−1.5 games1.65Win+0.65 u+1.67 u
Oct 29Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefan KozlovSioux FallsMax Hans Rehberg−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.45 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−3.5 games1.60Loss−1.00 u+2.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−1.5 games1.35Loss−1.00 u+1.42 u
Oct 29Yaroslav Demin vs Harold MayotNingboHarold Mayot−2.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+0.42 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−1.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+2.02 u
Oct 28Charles Broom vs Yaroslav DeminNingboCharles Broom−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.02 u
Oct 27Stefan Kozlov vs Murphy CassoneSioux FallsUnder26.5 games1.50Void—+2.25 u
Oct 27Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce NakashimaSioux FallsOver18.5 games1.44Loss−1.00 u+1.64 u
Oct 27Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Toby SamuelBrestToby Samuel−3.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+2.42 u
Oct 26Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan SmithNingboKeegan Smith−1.5 games1.75Loss−1.00 u+2.78 u
Oct 26Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit SamrejSeoulOver18.5 games1.47Win+0.47 u+3.25 u
Oct 26Zsombor Piros vs Laslo DjereBrestOver19.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+2.25 u
Oct 26Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh BasavareddyBrestUnder29.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+2.64 u
Oct 26Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriGuayaquilDiego Dedura-Palomero−2.5 games1.60Win+0.60 u+3.02 u
Oct 23Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie CuiGuangzhouTristan Schoolkate−2.5 games1.72Loss−1.00 u+2.63 u
Oct 23Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria ZarateCaliFelipe Meligeni Alves−2.5 games1.40Win+0.40 u+3.03 u
Oct 23Alex Marti Pujolras vs Sandro KoppFlorenciaSandro Kopp−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+3.78 u
Oct 22Oriol Roca Batalla vs Dimitris SakellaridisFlorenciaOriol Roca Batalla−2.5 games1.31Win+0.31 u+2.15 u
Oct 22Coleman Wong vs Jay FriendGuangzhouColeman Wong−2.5 games1.78Win+0.78 u+3.38 u
Oct 22Kaylan Bigun vs Aidan MayoFort WorthAidan Mayo−2.5 games1.70Win+0.70 u+4.08 u
Oct 22Andrej Nedic vs Alex Marti PujolrasFlorenciaAndrej Nedic−2.5 games1.53Loss−1.00 u+3.08 u
Oct 22Jie Cui vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver19.5 games1.55Win+0.55 u+3.63 u
Oct 21Max Alcala Gurri vs Elmer MollerLisboaUnder25.5 games1.55Loss−1.00 u+1.57 u
Oct 21Gustavo Heide vs Juan Pablo VarillasCaliOver19.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+2.09 u
Oct 21Keegan Smith vs Fajing SunGuangzhouKeegan Smith−2.5 games1.67Loss−1.00 u+1.09 u
Oct 21Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista TorresCaliJuan Manuel La Serna−2.5 games1.75Win+0.75 u+1.84 u
Oct 21Matej Dodig vs Marco CecchinatoLisboaMatej Dodig−1.5 games1.45Win+0.45 u+2.60 u
Oct 20Hayato Matsuoka vs Yibing WuGuangzhouOver18.5 games1.47Loss−1.00 u+1.91 u
Oct 20Fajing Sun vs Qian SunGuangzhouFajing Sun−3.5 games1.35Win+0.35 u+1.86 u
Oct 20Sergey Fomin vs Tristan SchoolkateGuangzhouOver17.5 games1.23Win+0.23 u+1.09 u
Oct 20Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago PereiraLisboaTiago Pereira+5.5 games1.62Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nicolas KickerCaliNicolas Kicker+7.5 games1.29Void—+1.84 u
Oct 20Matias Soto vs Samuel HerediaCaliSamuel Heredia+5.5 games1.60Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Braden Shick vs Gabriel DebruFort WorthBraden Shick+4.5 games1.28Void—+1.44 u
Oct 20Nick Hardt vs Francisco ComesanaCaliOver17.5 games1.30Win+0.30 u+2.05 u
Oct 20Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La SernaCaliOver18.5 games1.37Win+0.37 u+2.80 u
Oct 20Henry Searle vs Massimo GiuntaFlorenciaOver19.5 games1.39Win+0.39 u+3.19 u
Oct 20Francesco Passaro vs Gastao EliasLisboaOver17.5 games1.57Loss−1.00 u+2.53 u
Oct 20Federico Coria vs Nicolas MejiaCaliOver17.5 games1.52Win+0.52 u+3.05 u
Oct 20Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin TiffonLisboaPol Martin Tiffon+1.5 sets1.55Void—+3.05 u
Oct 20Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel TobonCaliOver17.5 games1.24Win+0.24 u+3.29 u
Oct 20Filippo Romano vs Filip Cristian JianuFlorenciaOver17.5 games1.23Loss−1.00 u+2.29 u
Oct 20Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca CadenassoFlorenciaSandro Kopp+5.5 games1.30Void—+2.29 u
Oct 20Alastair Gray vs Lui MaxtedFort WorthAlastair Gray+4.5 games1.23Void—+2.67 u
Oct 20Aidan Mayo vs Colton SmithFort WorthAidan Mayo+4.5 games1.36Void—+3.27 u
Oct 20Sebastian Gorzny vs Igor MarcondesFort WorthIgor Marcondes+1.5 sets1.57Win+0.57 u+4.34 u
Oct 20Cosme Rolland De Ravel vs Ozan BarisFort WorthCosme Rolland De Ravel+4.5 games1.40Void—+4.70 u